November 6, 2013

"Free" Money: NFL Picks

Bengals on the road? FAIL
Raiders cover at home? FAIL
Saints crush the Jets? FAIL

Sportingnerd record slips to a paltry 3-7-1...why do I even bother?



Week 10 picks: Gonna have to upgrade the nerd effect.

Broncos @ Chargers Over 57: Broncos have hit the over all 8 times this season, while the chargers are 50/50. At home home though they've hit the over 2/3 times. Over the last 4 weeks these two teams have combined to be 5-1 for the over. The resurgent Chargers will be chasing the whole time...should be a big time shootout.

Jaguars @ Titans -11.5: Jags have only covered the spread once this season: the epic record-breaking spread against the Broncos. Historically double digit spreads have been no gos, but we've all been getting burned hard on these this year. Meanwhile the Titans have been strong against the spread and have beaten the spread at home every time.

Eagles +2 @ Packers: We can basically throw out the Packer's data against the spread as replacing Aaron Rodgers injury blows up everything. The momentum swing here is huge as we are basically pitting Nick Foles' coming out party (7 TDs, 0 picks, 406 yards, perfect passer rating...are you kidding me?) vs Seneca Wallace's attempt at closing his eyes and white-knuckling it through the game. Eagles are also 4-1 against the spread on the road. 

"Both teams played hard...goodnight and godbless."

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